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2024-12-13 04:53:47

Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!To sum up, the price trend contains all the information, so it is not suitable to accelerate directly here, and there is no basis for a big drop, so the next big probability is the time to oscillate and adjust the rhythm. Considering that the overall upward trend of the market index remains unchanged, it will continue to hit a new high after the shock, so we should take the initiative to pick up the chips thrown high on dips.Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!


Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?For the next trend, Lao Liu also suggested in the long article of the Morning Post that if the closing price is below 3489.78 points, there is a high probability that the small yin and the small yang will fluctuate alternately. Then, after this wave of dishwashing knocks off the expectations of retail investors, it is estimated that it is the beginning of a new wave. In a word, in the short term, shock consolidation is still the second wave attack of winning three waves in the long term.In terms of sectors, the mapping direction of Hong Kong stocks, such as finance, consumption and Internet technology, led the gains yesterday, but the traditional industries basically turned green, with coal, railways and highways and precious metals leading the declines. Most of the plates and themes in it are high-opening and low-walking, and the only eye-catching thing is that the robot has turned from weak to strong again. It can be said that today it is not cheat people to suck only in this direction.


Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.It's just that what Liu wants to say is that today, although the high opening and low walking have closed a big yinxian line, it is not the same as the situation on October 8. Here, the main force is still inclined to wash dishes, rather than the beginning of a new round of decline. So remind everyone that short-term stepping back here is still an opportunity, not a risk. The support around 3400 points is very strong. Don't panic!Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.

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